Dr. Morrison's Dilemma
Background
Dr. Robert Morrison is a family physician at Valley Community Health Center. A long-time patient, Mr. Harold Washington, comes in with worsening knee pain from osteoarthritis. Standard treatments including physical therapy, weight loss, and over-the-counter pain relievers have provided only modest relief.
Mr. Washington has read about glucosamine supplements online. "My neighbor Frank swears by them," he says. "He had the same knee problems I do, and after six months on glucosamine, he is playing golf again. Why will you not just prescribe it?"
Dr. Morrison knows the research on glucosamine. Several large, well-designed randomized controlled trials have found that glucosamine is no more effective than placebo for osteoarthritis pain. However, he also knows that many patients report subjective improvement, and the supplements are generally safe.
A strong response includes
- Multiple explanations for Frank's improvement: Natural fluctuation in arthritis symptoms; placebo effect from believing the treatment works; regression to the mean if Frank started taking glucosamine when his pain was at its worst; lifestyle changes Frank may have made at the same time; or simply the passage of time allowing some healing to occur.
- Explaining the evidence: Dr. Morrison might explain that clinical trials follow hundreds or thousands of patients, comparing those taking glucosamine to those taking identical-looking placebos. When we look at all those patients together, the glucosamine group does not do better than the placebo group. This does not mean Frank is lying about feeling better, but it suggests the improvement was not caused by the glucosamine itself.